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Seeking Alpha 2024-11-06 21:13:02

Dow, S&P, Nasdaq end at new highs after Donald Trump emerges as White House winner

Major U.S. equity averages soared on Wednesday, with the so-called Trump Trade lighting up after Republican Party leader Donald Trump won re-election to the White House. Key U.S. stock indexes ended at record highs. The Dow Jones Industrial Average ( DJI ) soared +1,508 points, or +3.6% , to 43,729.93. The Nasdaq Composite ( COMP:IND ) +3%, and the S&P 500 ( SP500 ) +2.5%. Equities leapt as Trump secured the 270 electoral votes required to win the U.S. presidency over Vice President Kamala Harris. Republicans took control of the Senate, but were still fighting Democratic Party candidates to hang onto the House of Representatives. “Markets love certainty and with what appears to be a sweep (in U.S. government), markets are getting certainty from that. You're starting to see, especially higher-risk assets like small caps and growth-oriented names, really taking off,” Jeff DeLarme, president of DeLarme Wealth Management, told Seeking Alpha in an interview Wednesday. The Russell 2000 ( RTY ) measure of small-cap stocks reached roughly three-years highs by climbing +5.9% . The U.S. Dollar Index ( DXY ) +1.7% to 105.10. Bitcoin ( BTC-USD ) soared past the $76K level for the first time ever. Eight of 11 sectors in the S&P 500 ( SP500 ) rose. The Financials sector +6.2% . "This upside is driven in part by optimism that the Trump Administration will usher in lower regulation for banks and other financial firms," Daniel Jones , investing group leader of Crude Value Insights, told Seeking Alpha. The real Estate, Consumer Staples and Utilities sectors each slid. In the bond market, the 30-year yield ( US30Y ) was up 18 basis points at 4.66% as Treasury announced the results of its $25B auction of the bonds. The high yield was 4.608% vs. 4.389% at October's sale. The bid-to-cover ratio rose to 2.64 from 2.50. The yield earlier Wednesday hit 4.660%, the highest since late May. Other Treasury yields also spiked up as prices dropped. The benchmark 10-year yield ( US10Y ) was up 15 basis points to 4.44%, and the shorter-end, more rate-sensitive 2-year yield ( US2Y ) was up 9 basis points to 4.29%. “Just looking at today, because of this certainty [in election results] I think the market is picking up on, it seems like that might bode well for the economy – meaning that rates are going to have to climb higher to incent fixed-income investors to forgo making equity investments or other projects,” DeLarme said. Most of the Magnificent 7 group of tech behemoths including Nvidia ( NVDA ) and Alphabet ( GOOG ) rose. Shares of Tesla ( TSLA ) +14.7% , with the EV maker, led by Trump campaign supporter Elon Musk, seen as a major beneficiary under the Trump administration. Traders will next throw their attention to the Federal Reserve's meeting that concludes Thursday. Expectations are still a near-certainty of a quarter-point rate cut. But the odds of a similar cut in December have fallen below 70%, according to the CME FedWatch tool . Looking further out, fewer cuts are priced in for 2025, with traders now betting on a terminal rate for that year of 3.75%, just 1 full percentage point from current levels, reached by June. If President-elect Trump "does end up proceeding with some of his more radical proposals, such as implementing large tariffs on most or all imports, that could lead to slower interest rate cuts and a meaningful rise in cost for the average taxpayer," Jones said. "But for now, those concerns are not terribly important to the market." Among other individual movers, Super Micro Computer ( SMCI ) dropped -18% after the embattled artificial intelligence server maker reported preliminary fiscal first-quarter results and offered up an update from its independent special committee. Dear readers : We recognize that politics often intersects with the financial news of the day, so we invite you to click here to join the separate political discussion . More on the markets Should We Stay On The Bull Train? November FOMC Meeting: With Election In Focus, Fed May Opt For A 'Safe' 25 Bps Cut Fed Reaches $2 Trillion In Quantitative Tightening As It Cuts Rates JPMorgan's Jamie Dimon said to rule out joining Trump administration Nvidia retakes world’s most-valuable company title from Apple as market cap climbs

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